The Indian stock market is poised for a flat to positive opening today, driven by upbeat global cues including a strong Nasdaq rally and growing hopes for an India US trade deal. As of November 11, 2025, Gift Nifty futures signal mild gains, reflecting optimism amid talks of ending the US government shutdown and positive Asian market trends.
Global Markets Fuel Optimism
Wall Street ended with sharp gains on Monday, boosting investor confidence worldwide. The Nasdaq surged over two percent, its biggest jump in months, led by tech giants like Nvidia and AMD.
This rally came on hopes that the ongoing US government shutdown could resolve soon, easing economic worries. In Asia, markets followed suit with Japan’s Nikkei up more than one percent and South Korea’s Kospi rallying nearly three percent.
Traders in India are watching these developments closely, as they often influence local sentiment. Analysts note that such global upswings can provide a buffer against domestic volatility.
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones also climbed, adding to the positive momentum. Investors seem encouraged by signs of stability in the US economy, which could spill over to emerging markets like India.
Gift Nifty Points to Steady Open
Gift Nifty, a key indicator for the Indian market, traded at around 25,709 this morning. This represents a premium of about 15 points over the previous Nifty futures close.
Such a level suggests a flat to positive start for benchmark indices like Sensex and Nifty 50. On Monday, the Indian market snapped a three day losing streak, with Sensex gaining 319 points to close at 83,535.
Nifty 50 rose 82 points to 25,574, helped by buying in major stocks. Experts predict range bound trading ahead, but with potential upsides from strong earnings reports.
Here are some key levels to watch:
- Nifty 50 support: 25,400
- Nifty 50 resistance: 25,800
- Sensex support: 83,000
- Sensex resistance: 84,000
These thresholds could guide intraday moves, especially if global positivity holds.
India US Trade Deal Hopes Rise
Hopes for a revived India US trade deal are adding to market cheer. US President Donald Trump recently hinted at progress, saying he would revisit ties at some point.
This comes amid broader talks to resolve trade tensions, including potential tariff reductions. Reports suggest India and the US are close to finalizing aspects of a long awaited agreement.
Such a deal could boost sectors like IT and pharmaceuticals in India. Trump has praised Indian leadership, signaling warmer relations ahead.
Market watchers believe this could lead to increased foreign investments. Recent X posts from traders highlight excitement, with some predicting a short term bounce in IT stocks.
Analysts from firms like Motilal Oswal see this as a positive factor. Combined with expected RBI rate cuts, it might drive Nifty toward new highs.
US Shutdown Resolution in Sight
The potential end to the US government shutdown is a big driver behind the Nasdaq rally. Lawmakers are negotiating a deal to avoid prolonged disruption.
This shutdown, the longest on record, has raised concerns about economic growth. A quick resolution could stabilize markets and encourage risk taking.
Indian investors are monitoring this closely, as US events often impact global flows. Gold prices dipped slightly amid the optimism, while crude oil held steady.
In related news, Trump’s team has floated tax breaks, which could further lift sentiment. This ties into broader trade negotiations affecting India.
Sector Impacts and Stock Picks
Certain sectors stand to gain from these developments. IT stocks could see a lift from trade deal hopes, given strong US ties.
Banking and metals also showed strength in Monday’s session. Value buying helped reverse recent losses.
Consider this table of top performers from Monday’s close:
| Stock | Gain Percentage | Closing Price |
|---|---|---|
| Nvidia (US influence) | 5.8% | Not applicable (US) |
| Infosys (India) | 1.2% | 1,850 |
| TCS (India) | 1.5% | 4,200 |
| HDFC Bank | 0.8% | 1,650 |
| Reliance Industries | 0.6% | 2,900 |
These figures highlight where momentum is building. Traders recommend watching breakout stocks like those in tech and finance.
Energy stocks might benefit if oil imports from Russia decrease, as per recent reports. Overall, earnings season could provide more clarity.
What Lies Ahead for Investors
Markets may stay volatile with weekly derivatives expiry approaching. Mixed global cues, including China US trade talks, add layers of complexity.
Yet, positive factors like corporate earnings and trade progress offer support. Investors should focus on fundamentals amid the noise.
Long term, India’s growth story remains intact, with GDP projections for 2025 around seven percent. This could attract more foreign funds.
As a reader, what are your thoughts on these market shifts? Share this article with fellow investors and drop a comment below on your top stock picks for the week.
